mobi, epub |eng | 2012-09-04 | Author:Nate Silver

The other 94 percent of the time, the Lawyer starts out with a worse hand than ours. The problem is that there are five cards still left to come, and ...

mobi, epub |eng | 2010-08-15 | Author:Dan Ariely

* * * “Dan, when we got this car last year I was ecstatic, but now it no longer makes me happy. What do you think about renovating the kitchen?” ...

mobi, epub, pdf |eng | 2010-09-15 | Author:Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Lingua Franca The theory of preferential attachment is ubiquitous in its applications: it can explain why city size is from Extremistan, why vocabulary is concentrated among a small number of ...

mobi |eng | 2008-10-05 | Author:Taleb, Nassim Nicholas [Taleb, Nassim Nicholas]

Too Much Work Marc’s body became progressively flabbier, and his bespoke suits needed periodic visits to the tailor, in spite of his occasional crash diets. After he got over the ...

mobi, epub |eng | 2008-01-15 | Author:Tim Harford

SCHELLING’S CHESSBOARD MODEL suggests that transformations such as Fifteenth Street’s should be impossible: Things always fall apart, people always give in to their prejudices, and small anxieties lead to big ...

mobi, epub, pdf |eng | 2010-11-15 | Author:Kaiser Fung [Fung, Kaiser]

Some dismiss false negatives as victimless errors. Not true. As Michael Johnson, the superlative sprinter with the golden Nike spikes, wrote, “the athletes who finished behind [the winner who cheated] ...

epub, mobi, azw3, pdf |eng | 1994-12-15 | Author:Sylvia Nasar [Nasar, Sylvia]

At first, it seemed like just another one of Nash’s cryptic, disorganized performances, more free association than exposition. But halfway through, something happened. Donald Newman recalled in 1996: One word ...

epub |eng | 2010-11-24 | Author:Frankfort-Nachmias, Chava & Leon-Guerrero, Anna [Frankfort-Nachmias, Chava & Leon-Guerrero, Anna]

READING THE RESEARCH LITERATURE: REPORTING THE RESULTS OF STATISTICAL HYPOTHESIS TESTING Let’s conclude with an example of how the results of statistical hypothesis testing are presented in the social science ...

epub, mobi |eng | 2008-05-12 | Author:Leonard Mlodinow

THOUGH CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY represented a revolution in ideas about randomness, Thomas Bayes was no revolutionary, and his work languished unattended despite its publication in the prestigious Philosophical Transactions in 1764. ...

mobi, epub |pt | 2009-09-15 | Author:Steven D. Levitt; Stephen J. Dubner

Matters: The child had low birthweight. Doesn’t: The child attended Head Start. A child who had a low birthweight tends to do poorly in school. It may be that being ...

epub, mobi |eng | 2013-01-07 | Author:Wheelan, Charles [Wheelan, Charles]

So let’s return to a variation on our lost-bus example, only now we can substitute numbers for intuition. (The example itself will remain absurd; the next chapter will have plenty ...